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Will the U.S. remove Cuba from its Terrorism List by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the U.S. Department of State or verified reports by major news agencies
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U.S. to Remove Cuba from Terrorism List, Reversing Trump's 2021 Designation
Jan 14, 2025, 07:31 PM
U.S. officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to the Associated Press, have indicated that the Biden administration is expected to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of State Sponsors of Terrorism. The decision would reverse former President Donald Trump's 2021 designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism. Officials reportedly concluded that there is no information supporting Cuba's inclusion on the list. The administration also plans to rescind Trump-era restrictions and eliminate the restricted list that limits transactions with certain Cuban entities. The move is expected to prompt the release of political prisoners in response to U.S. actions. An official announcement is anticipated soon.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
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Positive reception • 25%
Negative reception • 25%
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