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What major economic reform will Cuba implement following U.S. policy changes by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased foreign investment • 25%
Currency reform • 25%
Expansion of private sector • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
Cuban government announcements or reports by major economic analysis firms
Story
U.S. to Remove Cuba from Terrorism List, Reversing Trump's 2021 Designation
Jan 14, 2025, 07:31 PM
U.S. officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to the Associated Press, have indicated that the Biden administration is expected to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of State Sponsors of Terrorism. The decision would reverse former President Donald Trump's 2021 designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism. Officials reportedly concluded that there is no information supporting Cuba's inclusion on the list. The administration also plans to rescind Trump-era restrictions and eliminate the restricted list that limits transactions with certain Cuban entities. The move is expected to prompt the release of political prisoners in response to U.S. actions. An official announcement is anticipated soon.
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Release of political prisoners • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other diplomatic gestures • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Other • 25%
Renewable Energy Focus • 25%
Infrastructure Investment • 25%
International Partnerships • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in trade • 25%
Increase in trade • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Uncertain outcome • 25%
Other major changes • 25%
Tax cuts • 25%
Infrastructure spending increase • 25%
Monetary policy easing • 25%
Suspend expropriation claims • 25%
All of the above • 25%
Lift terrorism designation • 25%
Rescind Trump-era restrictions • 25%
Real estate reform • 25%
Financial sector reform • 25%
Labor market reform • 25%
No major reforms • 25%
Harboring fugitives • 25%
Other • 25%
Ties to Iran • 25%
Support for FARC • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
Improved trade relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other economic impacts • 25%
Increase in foreign investments • 25%