Loading...
Market
Will the captured North Korean soldiers be returned to North Korea by June 30, 2025?
3
Volodymyr Zelensky•Ukrainian•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Kyiv•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Zelensky•Russian•North Korea•Tactical Group 84•Special Operations Forces•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from Ukraine or international news agencies
Story
Zelensky: Ukraine Captures Two Wounded North Korean Soldiers in Russia's Kursk Region
Jan 11, 2025, 02:43 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukrainian forces have captured two wounded North Korean soldiers in Russia's Kursk region. The soldiers were transported to Kyiv, where they are being interrogated by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU). Zelensky noted that the capture was challenging because Russian and North Korean forces often "finish off their wounded" to prevent capture and conceal North Korea's involvement. He thanked Tactical Group 84 of the Special Operations Forces for their efforts. This marks the first time Ukraine has confirmed the capture of North Korean soldiers alive since their reported entry into the war last autumn. Previously, Ukraine had captured one North Korean soldier who succumbed to his wounds within 24 hours. The captured soldiers may provide crucial evidence about North Korea's alleged support for Russia in the ongoing conflict, and journalists will have access to them.
View original story
Similar markets
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Trial in Ukraine • 25%
Deportation to North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No information released • 25%
Confession of combat role • 25%
Denial of combat role • 25%
Revelation of new intelligence • 25%
No significant information • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Denial of North Korean military involvement • 25%