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What will be the outcome for captured North Korean soldiers in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Ukrainian or North Korean governments, or verified news reports
Story
Zelensky Proposes Exchange of Captured North Korean Soldiers for Ukrainians Held by Russia
Jan 12, 2025, 06:57 PM
On Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine is prepared to return captured North Korean soldiers to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in exchange for Ukrainian soldiers held captive in Russia. Zelensky shared footage of the first interrogations of the North Korean soldiers, who were reportedly the first of their kind captured by Ukrainian forces in Russia's Kursk region. He stated, "Ukraine is ready to hand over Kim Jong Un's soldiers to him if he can organize their exchange for our warriors who are being held captive in Russia." For those North Korean soldiers who do not wish to return, Zelensky indicated that alternative arrangements could be made.
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Held as prisoners of war • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority captured • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military orders • 25%
Denial of official orders • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Evidence of voluntary participation • 25%
UN resolution or statement • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Demand immediate return • 25%
No official response • 25%
Negotiate exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%