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What will be the outcome for the captured North Korean soldiers by June 30, 2025?
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Volodymyr Zelensky•Ukrainian•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Kyiv•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Korean•English•Russian•Tactical Group 84•Special Operations Forces•Zelensky•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Ukrainian authorities or international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Captures Two Wounded North Korean Soldiers; Zelensky Opens Access to Journalists
Jan 11, 2025, 12:14 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukrainian forces have captured two North Korean soldiers in Russia's Kursk region. The soldiers were wounded but survived and have been transported to Kyiv, where they are communicating with investigators from the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) through Korean translators, as they do not speak Ukrainian, English, or Russian. One soldier was captured on January 9 by Tactical Group 84 of the Special Operations Forces, and the other by Ukrainian paratroopers. Zelensky stated that this was a challenging task, as Russian and North Korean forces often prevent wounded soldiers from being captured to conceal their involvement. He has instructed the SBU to allow journalists access to the prisoners to reveal the participation of another state in the war against Ukraine.
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Other outcome • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No conclusive information obtained • 25%
Confirmed involuntary involvement • 25%
Confirmed voluntary involvement • 25%
No information released • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No significant information • 25%
Denial of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Denial of combat role • 25%
Revelation of new intelligence • 25%
Confession of combat role • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoners of war • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Trial in Ukraine • 25%
Deportation to North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%