Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of negotiations involving captured North Korean soldiers by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Ukrainian, Russian, or North Korean governments or credible news outlets
Story
Zelensky Proposes Exchange of Two North Korean Soldiers Captured in Kursk for Ukrainian POWs
Jan 12, 2025, 06:26 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has announced that Ukraine is prepared to hand over captured North Korean soldiers to their leader, Kim Jong Un, in exchange for Ukrainian prisoners of war held by Russia. This statement follows the capture of two North Korean soldiers by Ukrainian forces in Russia's Kursk region, marking the first time Ukraine has captured North Korean soldiers since their involvement in the conflict. Zelensky indicated that more North Korean soldiers are expected to be captured, and he is open to facilitating their return to North Korea if it leads to the release of Ukrainian captives. He also mentioned alternative options for North Korean soldiers who do not wish to return, suggesting they could contribute to peace efforts by sharing information about the war in their language.
View original story
Similar markets
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Revelation of new intelligence • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Denial of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No information released • 25%
Confession of combat role • 25%
Denial of combat role • 25%
No significant information • 25%
Confirmed voluntary involvement • 25%
Confirmed involuntary involvement • 25%
No conclusive information obtained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Trial in Ukraine • 25%
Deportation to North Korea • 25%
Held as prisoners of war • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Other • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Successful exchange • 25%
Exchange offer rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other outcome • 25%