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Captured North Korean soldiers returned by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international diplomatic agencies or news outlets
Story
Ukraine Captures Two North Korean Soldiers Fighting for Russia, Zelenskyy Offers Journalist Access
Jan 12, 2025, 04:06 PM
Ukraine has reportedly captured two North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine's Kursk region. One of the captured soldiers, born in 2005, claimed he was misled into believing he was sent for training, not combat, and had received minimal training before deployment. Ukrainian forces have recovered diaries from deceased North Korean soldiers, revealing their tactics and experiences. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that more North Korean soldiers may be captured and that journalists will be granted access to the prisoners, highlighting North Korea's involvement in supporting Russia's military efforts. Ukrainian forces are distributing leaflets in Korean encouraging North Korean troops to surrender. This marks the first confirmed instance of direct North Korean troop involvement in the conflict, which Ukraine views as evidence of Russia's reliance on foreign military assistance.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Seek asylum in another country • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed involuntary involvement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No conclusive information obtained • 25%
Confirmed voluntary involvement • 25%
Denial of North Korean military involvement • 25%
No information released • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Confession of combat role • 25%
Denial of combat role • 25%
Revelation of new intelligence • 25%
No significant information • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%