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What will be the outcome of the interrogation of captured North Korean soldiers by April 30, 2025?
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Ukraine•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Russian•North Korean military•North Korean army•Kyiv•Korean•Ukrainian•South Korean•Moscow•Pyongyang
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmation of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Denial of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No information released • 25%
Confession of combat role • 25%
Denial of combat role • 25%
Revelation of new intelligence • 25%
No significant information • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian or South Korean governments, or credible international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Captures Two Injured North Korean Soldiers in Kursk Amid 12,000 Troop Deployment
Jan 12, 2025, 07:52 AM
Ukraine has captured two North Korean soldiers in Russia's Kursk region, marking the first time that North Korean prisoners of war have been taken in a condition suitable for interrogation. The soldiers, who were part of Russian forces, believed they were sent for training rather than combat. One of the soldiers, born in 2005 and enlisted in the North Korean military in 2021, stated he received a Russian military ID during a one-week training session in Russia in the fall of 2024. The other soldier, born in 1999, joined the North Korean army in 2016. Both soldiers are injured and are being treated in Kyiv, where they are being interrogated with the help of a Korean interpreter. Ukrainian and South Korean intelligence agencies are cooperating in the interrogation process. The capture of these soldiers sheds light on the deployment of approximately 12,000 North Korean troops to support Russian forces in the Kursk region, a move that has not been publicly acknowledged by Moscow or Pyongyang.
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No conclusive information obtained • 25%
Confirmed voluntary involvement • 25%
Confirmed involuntary involvement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoners of war • 25%
Exchange for Ukrainian POWs • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Returned without exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military orders • 25%
Denial of official orders • 25%
Evidence of voluntary participation • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Seek asylum in another country • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
