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Will NATO foreign ministers publicly support Ukraine's full membership by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NATO official press releases or statements from NATO foreign ministers
Story
Ukraine Declares Full NATO Membership Only Guarantee of Security Ahead of 30th Anniversary of Budapest Memorandum
Dec 3, 2024, 08:13 AM
Ukraine's Foreign Ministry has officially stated that full NATO membership is the only viable guarantee of security against Russian aggression. This declaration comes as Ukraine rejects any alternative security guarantees, emphasizing its commitment to NATO integration. The statement coincides with the 30th anniversary of the signing of the Budapest Memorandum, which Ukraine cites as a cautionary example of inadequate security assurances. The Ukrainian government asserts that past experiences have shaped its stance, and it will not accept substitutes for NATO membership as a means of security. This position was reiterated ahead of a NATO foreign ministers' meeting, highlighting Ukraine's ongoing efforts to solidify its defense capabilities amid the ongoing conflict with Russia.
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Minority support • 25%
Majority support with consensus • 25%
Majority support but no consensus • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Germany joins support • 25%
France and UK only • 25%
US joins support • 25%
All three join support • 25%
US supports • 25%
None support • 25%
Hungary supports • 25%
Germany supports • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Propose alternative security measures • 25%
Support Ukraine's membership • 25%
Oppose Ukraine's membership • 25%
No clear position • 25%
No official response • 25%
Alternative security guarantees offered • 25%
Formal invitation extended • 25%
Rejection of membership request • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
No change • 25%