Market

    Which key NATO member will support Ukraine's membership by February 28, 2025?

    3
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    US supports • 25%

    Germany supports • 25%

    Hungary supports • 25%

    None support • 25%

    Statements from NATO countries or official NATO communications

    Story

    Zelensky Seeks NATO Invite, Open to Cease-Fire; Ukraine Rejects Alternatives After Budapest Failure

    Zelensky Seeks NATO Invite, Open to Cease-Fire; Ukraine Rejects Alternatives After Budapest Failure

    Dec 3, 2024, 06:52 AM

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has intensified calls for a formal invitation to join NATO, stating that full membership is the only real guarantee for Ukraine's security. He indicated willingness to consider a cease-fire with Russia if Ukraine receives a NATO invite, even if some occupied territories remain under Russian control temporarily. Zelensky emphasized that "there will be no surrender from Ukraine and Trump knows it," highlighting the urgency following Donald Trump's election victory. Ukraine's Foreign Ministry officially rejected any alternatives to full NATO membership, recalling the failure of past security assurances like the Budapest Memorandum. Despite Ukraine's push, NATO foreign ministers meeting in Brussels are expected to sidestep Kyiv's request for a quick invite, with member nations divided—France and the UK support the invitation, while the U.S., Germany, and Hungary oppose it. Zelensky insists that an invitation to join the alliance is necessary for Ukraine's survival and the only true deterrent against Russian aggression.

    View original story

    Similar markets

    Germany • 25%

    United Kingdom • 25%

    United States • 25%

    France • 25%

    Minority support • 25%

    No significant support • 25%

    Majority support with consensus • 25%

    Majority support but no consensus • 25%

    No clear position • 25%

    Propose alternative security measures • 25%

    Oppose Ukraine's membership • 25%

    Support Ukraine's membership • 25%

    Formal invitation extended • 25%

    Alternative security guarantees offered • 25%

    Rejection of membership request • 25%

    No official response • 25%

    No progress on membership • 25%

    Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%

    Ukraine receives full membership • 25%

    Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%

    No change • 25%

    Membership delayed • 25%

    Membership denied • 25%

    Membership granted • 25%

    Membership application rejected • 25%

    Membership granted • 25%

    Membership application pending • 25%

    No application • 25%

    No official stance • 25%

    Majority against • 25%

    Evenly split • 25%

    Majority in favor • 25%

    Browse all stories on DeepNewz

    Visit