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What level of integration will Ukraine have in NATO military exercises by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full integration • 25%
Partial integration • 25%
Observer status only • 25%
No participation • 25%
NATO or Ukrainian government announcements regarding military exercises
Story
Ukraine Declares Full NATO Membership Only Guarantee of Security Ahead of 30th Anniversary of Budapest Memorandum
Dec 3, 2024, 08:13 AM
Ukraine's Foreign Ministry has officially stated that full NATO membership is the only viable guarantee of security against Russian aggression. This declaration comes as Ukraine rejects any alternative security guarantees, emphasizing its commitment to NATO integration. The statement coincides with the 30th anniversary of the signing of the Budapest Memorandum, which Ukraine cites as a cautionary example of inadequate security assurances. The Ukrainian government asserts that past experiences have shaped its stance, and it will not accept substitutes for NATO membership as a means of security. This position was reiterated ahead of a NATO foreign ministers' meeting, highlighting Ukraine's ongoing efforts to solidify its defense capabilities amid the ongoing conflict with Russia.
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Membership Action Plan granted • 25%
Formal invitation extended • 25%
No major milestone • 25%
Other significant progress • 25%
Membership talks progress • 25%
Increased financial aid • 25%
Military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Minority support • 25%
No support • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Increased Support • 25%
Maintained Support • 25%
Decreased Support • 25%
No Support • 25%
Invited to join • 25%
Accession negotiations ongoing • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Formal membership invitation • 25%
Continued current support level • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Majority support with consensus • 25%
Majority support but no consensus • 25%
Minority support • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Provide military assistance only • 25%
Engage in direct conflict • 25%
Implement no-fly zone • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support from multiple countries • 25%
Support remains stable • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Significant withdrawal of support • 25%
NATO provides only military assistance • 25%
NATO engages in direct conflict • 25%
NATO changes policy but does not engage • 25%
NATO increases sanctions • 25%