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Will Iran's nuclear program reach a 'point of no return' by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or credible international news agencies
Story
Macron: Iran's Nuclear Program Nears Point of No Return; Urges Snapback Sanctions Before October 2025
Jan 6, 2025, 12:34 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron warned on Monday that Iran's nuclear program is nearing the point of no return, highlighting Tehran's acceleration of its nuclear activities as a main strategic and security challenge in the Middle East and beyond. Speaking during his annual address to ambassadors, Macron emphasized the need for strategic discussions with U.S. President Donald Trump's administration regarding Iran, suggesting that Western leaders may need to consider reimposing snapback sanctions before their expiration in October 2025. He also cited Iran's support for Russia's war against Ukraine, backing of dangerous groups in the region, and deployment of proxy forces to Africa as additional concerns.
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Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continuation with increased transparency • 25%
Acceleration of nuclear development • 25%
No change in current policy • 25%
Complete suspension of nuclear program • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Resolved through military intervention • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Resolved through sanctions • 25%
Resolved through diplomacy • 25%