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Will snapback sanctions on Iran be reimposed by October 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Western governments or international organizations such as the United Nations
Story
Macron: Iran's Nuclear Program Nears Point of No Return; Urges Snapback Sanctions Before October 2025
Jan 6, 2025, 12:34 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron warned on Monday that Iran's nuclear program is nearing the point of no return, highlighting Tehran's acceleration of its nuclear activities as a main strategic and security challenge in the Middle East and beyond. Speaking during his annual address to ambassadors, Macron emphasized the need for strategic discussions with U.S. President Donald Trump's administration regarding Iran, suggesting that Western leaders may need to consider reimposing snapback sanctions before their expiration in October 2025. He also cited Iran's support for Russia's war against Ukraine, backing of dangerous groups in the region, and deployment of proxy forces to Africa as additional concerns.
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Nuclear weapon development • 25%
Other • 25%
Non-compliance with existing agreements • 25%
Political instability • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Britain • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Minimal economic impact • 25%
Moderate economic impact • 25%
Significant economic decline • 25%
