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Will HTS establish formal diplomatic relations with another major Western country by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the involved countries or major news outlets
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UK's David Lammy Confirms Diplomatic Contact with HTS Following Bashar al-Assad's Ouster
Dec 15, 2024, 05:12 PM
The United Kingdom has established diplomatic contact with the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the group that recently ousted President Bashar al-Assad in Syria. UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy confirmed this development, stating that the British government has engaged with the new Syrian government led by HTS. This contact marks a significant shift in the UK's diplomatic approach towards Syria following the recent political changes in the region.
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Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Recognized by China • 25%
Recognized by Russia • 25%
Recognized by USA • 25%
Not recognized by any • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Indirect engagement • 25%
Direct negotiations • 25%
Sanctioned actions • 25%
No engagement • 25%
France formally recognizes HTS • 25%
Germany formally recognizes HTS • 25%
No formal recognition by any • 25%
UK formally recognizes HTS • 25%