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Will German authorities publicly confirm Russian drone espionage by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from German intelligence agencies or credible news reports
Story
Germany's Bundeswehr Authorized to Shoot Down Drones Amid Suspected Russian Espionage
Jan 14, 2025, 07:40 PM
Germany's cabinet has approved a draft law allowing the country's armed forces, the Bundeswehr, to shoot down drones over military sites and critical infrastructure. This decision comes in response to a surge in suspicious drone activity, which authorities suspect may be linked to Russian espionage efforts. The new legislation aims to address the increasing challenge posed by drones, especially since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has heightened security concerns. The law requires parliamentary approval before it can be enacted.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian origin confirmed • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
Origin confirmed but not Russian • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Private Entity • 25%
Foreign State Actor • 25%
Russian espionage confirmed • 25%
Non-espionage related explanation • 25%
Other foreign espionage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased military security • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic action against Russia • 25%
Espionage • 25%
Recreational • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Commercial • 25%