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Will Germany officially identify Russian involvement in drone activity by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from German government or intelligence agencies
Story
Germany's Bundeswehr Authorized to Shoot Down Drones Amid Suspected Russian Espionage
Jan 14, 2025, 07:40 PM
Germany's cabinet has approved a draft law allowing the country's armed forces, the Bundeswehr, to shoot down drones over military sites and critical infrastructure. This decision comes in response to a surge in suspicious drone activity, which authorities suspect may be linked to Russian espionage efforts. The new legislation aims to address the increasing challenge posed by drones, especially since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has heightened security concerns. The law requires parliamentary approval before it can be enacted.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic action against Russia • 25%
Increased military security • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
No Action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Other foreign espionage confirmed • 25%
Non-espionage related explanation • 25%
Russian espionage confirmed • 25%
Russia • 25%
Germany • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Other country • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
Russian origin confirmed • 25%
Origin confirmed but not Russian • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign State Actor • 25%
Private Entity • 25%