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Will Bundeswehr shoot down a drone over critical infrastructure by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Bundeswehr reports or credible news sources
Story
Germany's Bundeswehr Authorized to Shoot Down Drones Amid Suspected Russian Espionage
Jan 14, 2025, 07:40 PM
Germany's cabinet has approved a draft law allowing the country's armed forces, the Bundeswehr, to shoot down drones over military sites and critical infrastructure. This decision comes in response to a surge in suspicious drone activity, which authorities suspect may be linked to Russian espionage efforts. The new legislation aims to address the increasing challenge posed by drones, especially since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has heightened security concerns. The law requires parliamentary approval before it can be enacted.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military-grade drone • 25%
Commercial drone • 25%
Other • 25%
Hobbyist drone • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic action against Russia • 25%
Increased military security • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
11-15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
0-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Russian espionage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Non-espionage related explanation • 25%
Other foreign espionage confirmed • 25%
Military Base • 25%
Power Plant • 25%
Industrial Facility • 25%
Other • 25%