Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into drone sightings over German industrial sites by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Espionage • 25%
Commercial • 25%
Recreational • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Official findings from German authorities or major news outlets
Story
Unidentified Drones Over U.S. Ramstein Air Base and German Industrial Sites Prompt Investigation
Dec 13, 2024, 11:19 AM
Unidentified drones have been sighted over the U.S. Ramstein Air Base in Germany and other sensitive industrial locations, including Rheinmetall and BASF, in recent weeks, according to reports by Spiegel and other news outlets. The German authorities are investigating these sightings, with suspicions that the drones might be Russian reconnaissance drones. The Pentagon has also dismissed claims of an Iranian 'mothership' off the U.S. East Coast, clarifying that there is no evidence linking the drone activity to any foreign entity or adversary.
View original story
Similar markets
Russian origin confirmed • 25%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
Origin confirmed but not Russian • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign State Actor • 25%
Private Entity • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Technological Malfunction • 25%
No Threat Identified • 25%
National Security Threat • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign government involvement • 25%
Domestic group or individual • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Classified as a threat • 25%
Identified as hobbyists • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Linked to organized group • 25%
Identified as domestic entity • 25%
Identified as foreign entity • 25%
Identified as private individuals • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Deemed as non-threatening • 25%
Identified as foreign origin • 25%
Identified as domestic origin • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Closed with resolution • 25%
Closed without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Identified as a domestic entity • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as a foreign entity • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Operator identified • 25%
Operator not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Drones deemed harmless • 25%
Drones pose a security threat • 25%