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Who will be identified as responsible for any sabotage attempt on Norway gas pipelines by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Another country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Official investigation reports or announcements by involved governments
Story
Britain, Germany, US Step Up Surveillance Over Fears of Russian Sabotage to Norway Gas Pipelines
Dec 8, 2024, 10:37 AM
Security officials in Britain have intensified surveillance around vital gas pipelines connected to Norway due to mounting fears that Russia could sabotage the UK's gas supply, potentially triggering blackouts. This heightened alert comes in response to concerns that Russia might target subsea energy links, prompting Britain, Germany, and the U.S. to step up North Sea surveillance, including the deployment of RAF and Poseidon P-8 anti-submarine planes. The Royal Air Force (RAF) is also on alert over the threat of sabotage to key gas pipelines, as reported by The Telegraph.
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Non-state actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
State actor • 25%
Other • 25%
Eagle S tanker crew • 25%
Another foreign vessel • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia accuses another party • 25%
Insufficient evidence to conclude • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Foreign entity • 25%
Individual acting alone • 25%
Local criminal group • 25%
Unknown • 25%
State Actor • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Technical Fault • 25%
Non-State Actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Terrorist group • 25%
Internal malfunction • 25%
State actor • 25%
Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Another state actor found responsible • 25%
Non-state actor found responsible • 25%
Other • 25%
Private individuals • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Corporate entity • 25%