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Confirmed sabotage on Baltic Sea undersea cables by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Finnish or Estonian authorities, NATO press releases, international news agencies
Story
NATO to Enhance Military Presence in Baltic Sea Amid Sabotage Concerns Over Undersea Cables, Says Mark Rutte
Dec 27, 2024, 10:43 AM
NATO has announced plans to enhance its military presence in the Baltic Sea, a decision attributed to concerns over possible sabotage of undersea cables. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte indicated that this move comes in response to recent incidents, including damage to an undersea power cable connecting Finland and Estonia. Finnish authorities have been investigating these incidents, which are part of a broader pattern of suspected sabotage targeting critical infrastructure in the region. Rutte expressed solidarity with Finland and Estonia, emphasizing the alliance's commitment to bolstering security in the area. This development underscores the growing tensions in the Baltic Sea amid ongoing geopolitical challenges.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International diplomatic actions • 25%
Improved cable protection measures • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
5 or more incidents • 25%
1-2 incidents • 25%
0 incidents • 25%
3-4 incidents • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
Installation of surveillance systems • 25%