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VisitWill Russia be confirmed as involved in Estlink 2 sabotage by June 30, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Finnish authorities or international organizations
Finland Detains Russian 'Shadow Fleet' Tanker Over Estlink 2 Sabotage
Dec 26, 2024, 01:39 PM
Finnish authorities are investigating damage to the undersea Estlink 2 power cable connecting Finland and Estonia, following an outage on December 25th. Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo announced that the cause of the disruption is under investigation, with sabotage not being ruled out. The Finnish police have opened a probe into the possible involvement of a foreign vessel. An oil tanker named Eagle S, registered under the Cook Islands flag and suspected of being part of Russia's 'shadow fleet', has been detained by the Finnish Coast Guard's patrol vessel Turva and is under investigation for aggravated sabotage and aggravated sanctions violations. The Eagle S was sailing from St. Petersburg to Port Said and had reportedly slowed down when passing over the cable. The incident also affected four undersea telecommunications cables between Finland and Estonia, which are now out of service. Authorities are working to determine whether the damage was caused intentionally or accidentally.
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Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Another state actor found responsible • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Non-state actor found responsible • 25%
State actor • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
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Non-state actor • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Eagle S tanker crew • 25%
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No suspect identified • 25%
Another foreign vessel • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Guilty of sanctions violations • 25%
Guilty of sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Intentional sabotage • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%