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What will be U.S. actions regarding Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
No Action • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or international diplomatic reports
Story
Trump Won't Rule Out Military Force to Gain Greenland, Panama Canal; Cites China's Influence
Jan 7, 2025, 05:35 PM
President-elect Donald Trump on Tuesday declined to rule out the use of military force or economic coercion to gain control of Greenland and the Panama Canal, emphasizing their importance to U.S. economic and national security. When asked by a reporter whether he could assure the world that he would not use military or economic means to assert control over these areas, Trump responded, "No, I can't assure you on either of those two." He added, "We need them for economic security... It might be that you'll have to do something." Trump expressed concerns about China's influence over the Panama Canal, stating, "The Panama Canal is vital to our country. It's being operated by China. China!" He reaffirmed his ambition to expand America's global footprint, suggesting that military action might be necessary.
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Economic actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Successful negotiation for control • 25%
Negotiation attempt but unsuccessful • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
No negotiation attempt • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Economic investments • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Military coercion • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Formal purchase proposal • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Denmark intervenes • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Greenland rejects negotiations • 25%