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What actions will the U.S. take regarding Greenland in 2025?
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Greenland•Múte Egede•Denmark•Frederik•Copenhagen•Donald Trump•Arctic•Trump•United States•Egede•Danish
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military actions • 25%
Economic actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or credible news reports
Story
Greenland PM to Meet Danish King Amid Trump's Threats of Military or Economic Action for Island Control
Jan 8, 2025, 11:05 AM
Greenland's Prime Minister Múte Egede is set to meet with Denmark's King Frederik in Copenhagen on Wednesday, following remarks by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump expressing his desire to take control of the Arctic island. Trump, who will assume office on January 20, has not ruled out using military or economic measures against Denmark to incorporate Greenland, a semi-sovereign territory with a population of 57,000 that has been part of Denmark for 600 years, into the United States. The meeting comes after Trump's eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., made a private visit to Greenland. Egede, who supports Greenland's future independence from Denmark, had previously announced that the meeting with the king was postponed, but the Danish royal court confirmed it would proceed. Both Egede and Denmark have stated that Greenland is not for sale, and its future can only be decided by Greenlanders themselves.
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Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No negotiation attempt • 25%
Successful negotiation for control • 25%
Negotiation attempt but unsuccessful • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Economic investments • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Military coercion • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Opposition from major allies • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal purchase proposal • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
No Action • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%