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What will be the outcome of U.S. efforts to acquire Greenland by the end of 2025?
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Greenland•Trump Force One•Donald Trump•United States•Charlie Kirk•Sergio Gor•Danish•Trump•Nation•Make Greenland Great Again•Nuuk•Make America Great Again•Arctic•Denmark
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Official statements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland governments
Story
Donald Trump Jr. Lands in Greenland on Trump Force One Amid President-Elect's 'Make Greenland Great Again' Push
Jan 7, 2025, 01:20 PM
Donald Trump Jr. arrived in Greenland on Tuesday aboard Trump Force One, amid renewed interest from his father, President-elect Donald Trump, in acquiring the territory for the United States. The visit, alongside advisers including Charlie Kirk and Sergio Gor, has heightened speculation about the incoming administration's intentions towards the autonomous Danish territory. President-elect Trump recently described U.S. ownership of Greenland as an "absolute necessity," stating, "This is a deal that must happen. Greenland is an incredible place, and the people will benefit tremendously if, and when, it becomes part of our Nation. We will protect it and cherish it from a very vicious outside world. Make Greenland Great Again." Upon arrival in Nuuk, Trump Jr. was greeted by locals, some wearing "Make America Great Again" hats. During his visit, the President-elect called into a lunch meeting, emphasizing Greenland's strategic importance. "You're so strategically located," he told attendees. "Our country needs it and the whole world needs it. It's a very special place." The visit marks a renewed push by the incoming administration to explore possibilities of acquiring the resource-rich Arctic island. Greenland, currently an autonomous territory of Denmark, has previously rebuffed suggestions of a U.S. purchase.
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Other outcome • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
No Formal Offer Made • 25%
Purchase Agreement Reached • 25%
Offer Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Withdrawn by U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No official proposal made • 25%
Purchase rejected • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
No formal proposal made • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Formal rejection by Denmark/Greenland • 25%
No formal action taken • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiation attempt but unsuccessful • 25%
Successful negotiation for control • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
No negotiation attempt • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Military coercion • 25%