Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. efforts to acquire Greenland by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. State Department or Danish government
Story
Trump Considers Military Intervention for Greenland, Despite Danish Rejection
Jan 9, 2025, 06:55 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has expressed renewed interest in acquiring Greenland, a semi-autonomous part of the Kingdom of Denmark, citing its strategic importance for national and economic security. Trump's interest in Greenland is driven by several factors, including the island's control over key maritime and air routes, its rich deposits of minerals, oil, gas, and rare earth minerals crucial for telecommunications and other technologies. The melting of Arctic ice due to climate change is also seen as a potential opportunity for new shipping routes and access to previously inaccessible resources. Trump's ambition to acquire Greenland is also viewed as a means to expand U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere and to cement his legacy, according to sources familiar with his thinking. Trump has not ruled out military intervention to achieve this goal. His son, Donald Trump Jr., visited Greenland recently, underscoring the seriousness of the interest. The Danish government has reiterated that Greenland is not for sale, and any move by Trump could lead to tensions with NATO ally Denmark. Trump sees Greenland as a strategic addition to U.S. territory.
View original story
Similar markets
Status quo maintained • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Offer Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Purchase Agreement Reached • 25%
No Formal Offer Made • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland acquired by U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Efforts abandoned • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Withdrawn by U.S. • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Purchase rejected • 25%
No official proposal made • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No formal proposal made • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Formal rejection by Denmark/Greenland • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
No formal action taken • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%