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What will be the outcome of US efforts to acquire Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Danish governments
Story
Trump Threatens High Tariffs if Denmark Refuses to Give Up Greenland
Jan 7, 2025, 05:26 PM
President Donald Trump has declared that the United States needs Greenland for national security purposes and questioned Denmark's legal claim to the territory, stating, 'People don't even know if Denmark has any legal right to it. But if they do, they should give it up because we need it for national security.' Trump hinted at imposing high tariffs on Denmark if it does not relinquish control of Greenland, saying, 'I will tariff Denmark at a very high level.' He emphasized the strategic importance of Greenland for protecting the free world, referencing the presence of Russian and Chinese ships in the region.
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
Purchase rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No official proposal made • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Greenland acquired by U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Efforts abandoned • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Withdrawn by U.S. • 25%
No Formal Offer Made • 25%
Purchase Agreement Reached • 25%
Offer Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
No formal proposal made • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Formal acquisition negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%