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What will be the US policy stance towards NATO and EU by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Stronger NATO support • 25%
Weaker NATO support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Policy announcements from the US government
Story
Vice President-elect JD Vance Warns US May Withdraw NATO Support Over EU Regulation of Musk's X
Nov 9, 2024, 05:07 PM
Vice President-elect JD Vance has stated that the United States could withdraw its support for NATO if the European Union attempts to regulate Elon Musk's social media platform, X (formerly Twitter). This assertion has sparked concerns about the future of US-EU relations and the stability of NATO. Vance's comments highlight a potential shift in US foreign policy under the incoming Trump administration, emphasizing the protection of American tech companies from foreign regulation and free speech. Vance had previously issued a similar warning in September.
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Similar markets
US remains in NATO • 25%
US withdraws from NATO • 25%
US reduces involvement • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
US expelled from NATO • 25%
NATO sanctions US • 25%
US policy unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Divided • 25%
Increased role • 25%
Decreased role • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Threatened withdrawal • 25%
Reduced support for NATO • 25%
Supportive of Trump's actions • 25%
Critical of Trump's actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other response • 25%
Majority support aggressive strategy • 25%
Majority support diplomatic strategy • 25%
Split opinions • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Majority support staying • 25%
Majority support withdrawing • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Agreement on increased contributions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
U.S. threatens withdrawal • 25%
NATO restructuring proposed • 25%
Increase in military support to Ukraine • 25%
Direct military engagement with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in military support to Ukraine • 25%