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What will be Trump's stance on NATO by November 9, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Threatened withdrawal • 25%
Reduced support for NATO • 25%
Official statements or actions documented by the US government or NATO
Story
UK to Increase Defense Spending to 2.5% of GDP by Spring 2025 After Trump's Election: Telegraph
Nov 9, 2024, 07:48 AM
Following Donald Trump's election victory, European nations are pledging to strengthen their defense capabilities. The UK, under Prime Minister Keir Starmer, plans to increase defense spending to 2.5% of GDP by spring 2025. This move, reported by the Telegraph, is seen as a gesture to improve relations with Trump, who has previously threatened to pull the US out of NATO unless Europe boosts its own security expenditures. The current UK defense spending stands at approximately 2.2% of GDP. The increase in defense spending is expected to be announced shortly after Trump takes office. Trump's victory is also testing the ability of America's European allies to maintain solidarity and defend their economic interests.
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Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Divided • 25%
Supportive of Trump's actions • 25%
Critical of Trump's actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other response • 25%
Strengthened NATO • 25%
Weakened NATO • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increased role • 25%
Decreased role • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Stronger NATO support • 25%
Weaker NATO support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
NATO reduces involvement • 25%
NATO increases involvement • 25%
NATO maintains current role • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
US remains in NATO • 25%
US withdraws from NATO • 25%
US reduces involvement • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%