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What will be the outcome of US-Iran nuclear talks by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Official announcements from US or Iranian governments or international diplomatic bodies
Story
Trump Urges Israel to Strike Iran's Nuclear Facilities in Retaliation for Missile Barrage
Oct 5, 2024, 05:56 AM
Former President Donald Trump has called on Israel to strike Iran's nuclear facilities in response to a recent missile barrage from Iran. Speaking at a campaign event in North Carolina on Friday, Trump criticized President Joe Biden's stance on avoiding targeting Iran's nuclear sites, arguing that hitting these facilities is crucial to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Trump emphasized that targeting the nuclear sites should be a priority and that other concerns can be addressed later. He described the nuclear threat as the biggest risk and suggested this action as a necessary retaliation. This statement marks a significant divergence from Biden's approach, which advocates for restraint to avoid further escalation.
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Talks initiated • 25%
Talks rejected • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
JCPOA reinstated • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
New deal reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapsed • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Breakdown of talks • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stall • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased inspections agreed • 25%
Sanctions reinstated • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Iran agrees to new restrictions • 25%
Iran refuses further restrictions • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Increased military confrontation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks continue without resolution • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%