Loading...
Market
Outcome of US-Iran diplomatic negotiations by March 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks continue without resolution • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Official statements from the US Department of State or Iranian government, or credible news reports
Story
Iran Claims Nuclear Capability, Vows 'Tooth-Breaking' Response to US, Israel on November 2, 2024
Nov 2, 2024, 07:30 PM
Iran has announced that it is capable of building a nuclear weapon. This declaration was accompanied by a stern warning from Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who vowed a 'tooth-breaking' response to any aggression from the United States and Israel. The statement follows a similar assertion from a top adviser, heightening tensions in the region. The announcement was made on November 2, 2024.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Increased military confrontation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful resolution • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal peace talks initiated • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Breakdown of talks • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stall • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased inspections agreed • 25%
Sanctions reinstated • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Other diplomatic agreement • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%