Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of US-Ukraine relations by January 20, 2026?
2
Donald Trump•Ukraine•Russian•US•Time•Trump•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russia•Joe Biden•American•Europe
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened military support • 25%
Reduced military support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
Official diplomatic statements and policy changes
Story
Trump Vehemently Opposes Ukraine's Use of US Missiles to Strike Russia, Calls Decision Foolish
Dec 12, 2024, 03:48 PM
President-elect Donald Trump sharply criticized Ukraine's use of US-supplied long-range missiles to strike deep into Russian territory, suggesting a potential shift in US policy towards the conflict. In an interview with Time magazine, Trump described Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's decision to launch missile strikes into Russia, with the approval of President Joe Biden, as "a major escalation" and "a foolish decision." Trump stated he "vehemently" opposes Ukraine firing hundreds of American long-range missiles into Russia, arguing that "we're just escalating the war and making things worse." Despite his criticisms, Trump vowed "not to abandon" Ukraine but emphasized that Europe should shoulder more responsibility in negotiating an end to the conflict.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict ends • 25%
Conflict de-escalates • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial approval • 25%
Full approval • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Postponement • 25%