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What will be the outcome of U.S. foreign policy shift on Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Official U.S. government policy announcements or reputable news coverage
Story
House Speaker Mike Johnson Rejects Biden's $24 Billion Ukraine Aid Request, Awaiting New President-Elect's Direction
Dec 4, 2024, 04:29 PM
House Speaker Mike Johnson has announced that the U.S. House of Representatives will not be considering additional funding for Ukraine, specifically rejecting a recent request from the Biden administration for $24 billion in military aid. Johnson emphasized that the decision regarding Ukraine aid is no longer in President Biden's purview, stating, "It is not the place of Joe Biden to make that decision. We have a newly elected president, and we’re going to wait and take the new commander-in-chief’s direction on all of that." He further clarified that he does not expect any new funding to be proposed at this time, indicating a shift in policy following the election of Donald Trump as president-elect. Johnson's remarks reflect a broader transition in U.S. foreign policy priorities with the upcoming change in administration.
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Neutral stance • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Improved US-Europe relations • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
Strengthened Ukraine defense • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
No decision • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Support • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Full guarantees • 25%
Partial guarantees • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
Reduced military support • 25%
Strengthened military support • 25%
Other • 25%
Military support • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%