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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's defense against Russian forces in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine maintains current territory • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Ukraine loses some territory • 25%
Ukraine loses significant territory • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian government
Story
Blinken Reveals U.S. Began Arming Ukraine with Stinger and Javelin in September 2021
Jan 4, 2025, 02:32 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has disclosed that the United States began arming Ukraine well before the onset of Russia's special military operation. In an interview with The New York Times, Blinken revealed that the U.S. started supplying weapons, including Stinger and Javelin systems, to Ukraine as early as September 2021, with further deliveries in December of the same year. The aim was to ensure that Ukraine had the necessary means to defend itself, particularly to prevent the capture of Kyiv by Russian forces.
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Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Minor territorial gain • 25%
Territorial loss • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%