Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Ukraine's conflict with Russia by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Ukraine or Russia, or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Trump May Push Ukraine for Peace Without Security Guarantees as Early as 2025, Financial Times Reports
Dec 30, 2024, 05:23 AM
As the potential for a new U.S. presidency looms, discussions surrounding the future of Ukraine's conflict with Russia have intensified. Analysts suggest that Donald Trump may advocate for a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia without providing security guarantees for Ukraine. The Financial Times reported that Trump's transactional approach and desire to avoid military conflicts could lead to the U.S. facilitating a deal that eases sanctions on Russia. This scenario could unfold as early as 2025, with experts noting that Ukraine faces a challenging decision regarding its sovereignty and security amidst ongoing aggression from Russia. The complexities of the situation have raised questions about Ukraine's ability to endure another year of war, with various opinions emerging on the necessary support from Europe and America to ensure Ukraine's resilience.
View original story
Similar markets
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Ukraine loses significant territory • 25%
Ukraine maintains current territory • 25%
Ukraine loses some territory • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%