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What will be the outcome of Russia's military strategy in Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Reports from international organizations such as the UN, NATO, or verified news sources
Story
Putin Claims Russia Should Have Launched 'Special Military Operation' Earlier Due to Minsk Agreements
Dec 19, 2024, 02:59 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the decision to launch a full-scale invasion of Ukraine should have been made earlier than February 2022. During his annual end-of-year press conference, Putin emphasized that Russia should have begun preparing for the conflict well in advance. He reiterated that the invasion, referred to by Russia as a 'special military operation,' was a response to what he described as being 'deceived' and 'forced' into action due to Ukraine's alleged non-compliance with the Minsk agreements. Putin also mentioned that the war has changed him personally, noting that he now jokes less and laughs less frequently.
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Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Russia withdraws • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Russia gains territory • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia achieves all goals • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Ukraine Victory • 25%
Russia Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ukraine maintains control of the incursion areas • 25%
Russia regains control of the incursion areas • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ukraine wins • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%