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What will be the outcome of Trump's TikTok reinstatement attempt by end of 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Reinstated • 25%
Not Reinstated • 25%
Partial Reinstatement • 25%
Abandoned Effort • 25%
Official announcements or news reports from credible sources
Story
Trump's Plan to Revive TikTok Aims to Win Over Gen Z Voters for Midterms and 2028
Jan 19, 2025, 03:51 PM
Former President Donald Trump is reportedly working on a plan to revive TikTok, aiming to appeal to Generation Z voters. Analysts suggest that if Trump successfully reinstates the popular social media platform, he could significantly enhance his popularity among younger voters, potentially leading to a shift in political allegiance. Observers note that Gen Z's affinity for TikTok could translate into increased support for Trump and the Republican Party in upcoming elections, including the midterms and the 2028 presidential race. The revival of TikTok is seen as a strategic move that could position Trump favorably among younger demographics who are influential in shaping electoral outcomes.
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Ban fully reversed • 25%
Ban partially lifted • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
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No action taken • 25%
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TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
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Restrict TikTok • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
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Order issued but legally blocked • 25%
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Ban remains • 25%
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Ban lifted permanently • 25%
90-day reprieve granted • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
No Executive Order • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
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Ban paused • 25%
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Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%