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Market
What will be the outcome of the U.S. Supreme Court decision on TikTok by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 33%
Delay granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Decision deferred • 34%
U.S. Supreme Court ruling announcement
Story
China Considers Selling TikTok U.S. to Elon Musk Amid Looming Ban; TikTok Denies Reports
Jan 14, 2025, 04:02 PM
Elon Musk is reportedly in discussions to acquire the U.S. operations of TikTok, as China considers selling the popular video-sharing app, owned by ByteDance, to prevent an impending ban in the United States. Chinese officials are evaluating the option of Musk's company X (formerly Twitter) taking control of TikTok's U.S. operations and possibly integrating the two platforms. The ban, driven by national security concerns over TikTok's Chinese ownership, is set to be decided by the U.S. Supreme Court by January 19. TikTok has denied these reports, calling them "pure fiction." Market analysts estimate that a deal could cost Musk between $40 billion and $50 billion, similar to the amount he paid for Twitter in 2022. Musk's growing alliance with former President Donald Trump is noted as a factor in the potential deal.
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Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Government wins • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Operations halted • 25%
Divestment approved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operations continue • 25%
TikTok ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
TikTok ban upheld • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Ban paused • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban delayed • 34%
Delay granted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Delay denied • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Appeal denied • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%