Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's Supreme Court appeal by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal Granted • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. Supreme Court ruling or official government announcement.
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban to Supreme Court Amid Global Scrutiny and EU Probe
Dec 22, 2024, 06:49 AM
TikTok faces an imminent ban in the United States, set to take effect on January 19, unless its parent company ByteDance divests from its U.S. operations. The platform, which boasts one billion users globally, has been embroiled in controversies worldwide, including allegations of espionage in the U.S. and suspected foreign interference in Romania's presidential election. In response to the potential ban, TikTok has appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that the ban represents a significant infringement on free speech. The case is set to be heard on January 10. Meanwhile, the European Union has initiated an investigation into TikTok's recommendation systems and political content management, with potential fines up to 6% of its annual turnover if violations are found. The platform's future remains uncertain as it navigates these legal and regulatory challenges.
View original story
Similar markets
Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Force divestiture • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
No ruling by deadline • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
