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What will be the outcome of the Supreme Court case on TikTok by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok ban overturned • 25%
TikTok ban upheld • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Official Supreme Court ruling or news reports
Story
Supreme Court Hears TikTok's Appeal Against U.S. Ban Set for January 19
Jan 10, 2025, 02:15 AM
The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments today, January 10, 2025, in TikTok's challenge against the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, a federal law requiring the app to divest from its Chinese parent company ByteDance or face a nationwide ban. The law, signed by President Biden in April 2024, mandates that TikTok be sold by January 19, 2025, citing national security concerns over its Chinese ownership. TikTok has sued to block the law, arguing that it violates free speech rights. If the Supreme Court does not intervene, TikTok plans to shut down its U.S. operations on January 19. The case presents a collision between free speech and national security, with significant implications for the social media landscape and the roughly half of Americans who use the app for entertainment and information.
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Government wins • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
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Appeal denied • 25%
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Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Delay denied • 25%
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Case dismissed • 25%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban paused • 33%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Ban upheld • 25%
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Ban blocked • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Delay granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%