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What will be the Supreme Court's decision on TikTok by Jan 19, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban enforced • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Supreme Court ruling and public announcements.
Story
U.S. DOJ Urges Supreme Court to Reject Trump's Request to Delay TikTok Ban by Jan. 19
Jan 4, 2025, 03:06 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice has urged the Supreme Court to reject President-elect Donald Trump's request to delay the implementation of a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. or force its sale by its Chinese parent company ByteDance by Jan. 19. The law, which requires ByteDance to divest from TikTok's U.S. assets or face a ban, has been contested by TikTok on free speech grounds, arguing that it could infringe on the First Amendment rights of its 170 million U.S. users. Trump, who previously attempted to ban TikTok during his first term citing national security risks, now supports the platform and has asked the Supreme Court to pause the ban to allow his incoming administration time to seek a negotiated resolution. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on the case on Jan. 10.
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Rule against TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Pause ban until Jan 20, 2025 • 33%
Overturn ban completely • 34%
Uphold ban starting Jan 19, 2025 • 33%
Other Outcome • 25%
Enforce Ban • 25%
Delay Ban • 25%
Remand to Lower Court • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Injunction denied • 25%
Injunction granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban paused • 33%