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What will be the U.S. Supreme Court decision on the TikTok ban by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban delayed • 34%
U.S. Supreme Court decision or ruling
Story
Supreme Court Likely to Uphold TikTok Ban Unless ByteDance Sells App by January 19
Jan 13, 2025, 03:01 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court appears poised to uphold a federal law that could ban TikTok in the United States beginning January 19 unless the app is sold by its China-based parent company, ByteDance. The justices heard oral arguments on Friday, expressing skepticism toward TikTok's challenge against the ban due to national security concerns. President-elect Donald Trump recently asked the court to uphold the ban. Some justices referred to TikTok as a 'website' and showed little concern for how the ban would affect its 170 million regular U.S. users. In response to the potential ban, users are migrating to alternative apps like Xiaohongshu (RedNote) and Lemon8, both of which have surged to the top of the U.S. App Store downloads.
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Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban blocked temporarily • 33%
Decision delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
No decision • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban paused • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Remand to Lower Court • 25%
Delay Ban • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Enforce Ban • 25%
Case dismissed • 34%
Delay denied • 33%
Delay granted • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Overturn ban completely • 34%
Pause ban until Jan 20, 2025 • 33%
Uphold ban starting Jan 19, 2025 • 33%
Ban enforced • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Delay granted • 25%
Decision deferred • 34%
Other • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%