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What will be the outcome of the South Korean presidency by December 31, 2024, due to the current crisis?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
President Yoon remains • 25%
Interim president appointed • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement from South Korean government or major news outlets
Story
South Korean Parliament Urges Arrest of President Yoon Over Treason and Martial Law Attempt
Dec 10, 2024, 06:38 AM
South Korea's parliament has passed a resolution urging the immediate arrest of President Yoon Suk-yeol, following allegations of treason and a failed attempt to declare martial law. The National Office of Investigation has banned five key police and military officials, including the police chief, from leaving the country as part of the ongoing investigation. Additionally, a bill was passed to appoint a special counsel to probe President Yoon's actions, signaling a significant political crisis in the country. President Yoon and seven others have been added to the arrest list.
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Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other significant resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Governmental changes • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Yoon Remains in Power • 25%
Yoon Resigns • 25%
Yoon Impeached • 25%
Government change • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
Stability restored • 25%
Candidate from opposition party • 25%
Other • 25%
Choi Sang-mok • 25%
New candidate from Yoon's party • 25%
Acting President remains • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
President Yoon remains in office • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
