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Outcome of South Korean political crisis by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Official government announcements or reports from credible news agencies
Story
South Korean Parliament Votes 190-0 to Block President's Martial Law Amid Military Tension
Dec 3, 2024, 04:12 PM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared emergency martial law, accusing the opposition of anti-state activities and controlling parliament. The declaration led to significant political upheaval, with military forces entering the parliament building to enforce the decree. In response, the South Korean National Assembly convened and voted unanimously, 190-0, to block President Yoon's martial law declaration, with the Speaker declaring it invalid. The vote occurred amidst reports of military helicopters hovering over parliament and soldiers attempting to arrest lawmakers. The situation remains tense as the military's allegiance is uncertain, with 110 MPs who support the President boycotting the vote.
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Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
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