Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the next major military engagement between Ukraine and Russia by April 30, 2025?
2
Ukraine•Russian•Rostov•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Ukrainian Navy•Neptune missile•Chaltyr•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified reports from international military analysts or news agencies
Story
Ukraine Uses Neptune Missile in Joint SBU-Navy Operation to Strike Russian Recon Drone Facility in Rostov
Jan 10, 2025, 08:58 AM
Ukraine conducted a targeted strike on a Russian reconnaissance drone storage facility in the Rostov region overnight on January 10. The attack, a joint operation by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and the Ukrainian Navy, utilized SBU drones and a domestically-produced Neptune missile. According to a source in Ukraine's defense forces, the drones first overwhelmed Russian air defenses, allowing the Neptune missile to strike the facility near the village of Chaltyr. The facility was storing both ammunition and reconnaissance drones used by Russia to support deep strikes against Ukraine. This operation marks a significant effort by Ukraine to disrupt Russian military capabilities.
View original story
Similar markets
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other development • 25%
Russia launches new offensive • 25%
Ukraine launches new offensive • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ukraine loses significant territory • 25%
Ukraine loses some territory • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Ukraine maintains current territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%