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What will be the outcome of the Israeli Gaza deal by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deal approved with terrorist release • 25%
Deal approved without terrorist release • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news sources
Story
Israeli Finance Minister Smotrich Calls Emerging Gaza Deal a 'Catastrophe' for National Security, Rejects Release of Terrorists
Jan 13, 2025, 09:10 AM
Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich has expressed strong opposition to an emerging deal regarding Gaza, labeling it a 'catastrophe' for Israel's national security. He stated that his party will not support a deal that involves the release of terrorists and a cessation of hostilities, emphasizing the need for Israel to maintain a robust military presence in Gaza until Hamas surrenders. Smotrich's comments come amid reports that Prime Minister Netanyahu has struggled to secure his support for the proposed exchange deal, which allegedly includes the return of more bodies than living hostages. Smotrich reiterated that any agreement perceived as a surrender will be rejected, calling for a decisive military approach to ensure Israel's security interests are upheld.
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Ceasefire only • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%
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Information on Avera Mengistu and Hisham al-Sayed received • 25%
Hadar Goldin's body returned • 25%
Yahya Sinwar's body returned • 25%
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