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What will be the outcome of negotiations between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible international news agencies
Story
Israeli Forces Recover Body of Youssef Ziyadne, Father of 19, from Gaza Tunnel
Jan 8, 2025, 04:24 PM
The Israeli military has recovered the body of Youssef Ziyadne, a 53-year-old Bedouin man from Rahat, from an underground tunnel in the Rafah area of Gaza. Ziyadne, the father of 19 children, was abducted by Hamas on October 7, 2023, and was killed while in captivity. The operation also uncovered evidence related to his son, Hamza Ziyadne, raising serious concerns for his life. The recovery of Ziyadne's body comes amid ongoing efforts to secure a ceasefire and the release of hostages, with about 98 hostages still believed to be held by Hamas, including 36 who have been declared dead.
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Hostage Release Only • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
New hostages taken • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
Other • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostage death toll increases • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations continue with no agreement • 25%
Agreement reached and hostages exchanged • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%