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What will be the outcome of the Iran-Israel conflict escalation by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Mediation by third party • 25%
Resolution through UN intervention • 25%
Reports from international peace organizations or official ceasefire agreements
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Iran Vows Full Force Response to Israeli Airstrikes on Military Targets
Oct 26, 2024, 08:33 AM
Iran's Foreign Ministry has strongly condemned recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military targets, asserting its right and duty to defend itself. The Ministry's spokesman criticized a New York Times report suggesting Tehran might not respond to a limited Israeli attack, labeling it as 'highly deceptive and absurd.' The spokesman emphasized that any Israeli aggression would be met with full force. This statement follows overnight attacks by Israel on targets in Iran, which the Iranian government views as foreign aggressive actions. In a statement on Saturday, the Ministry reiterated that Iran is entitled and obligated to defend against foreign aggressive actions, based on the inherent right of self-defense.
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Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant escalation • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Continued military engagements • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Major conflict escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No further conflict escalation • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Limited military engagements • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran victory • 25%
Israel victory • 25%
Stalemate/ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited military skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Limited skirmish • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No conflict • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No escalation occurs • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%