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What will be the outcome of Iran-Israel tensions by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Limited skirmish • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No conflict • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies or official government announcements
Story
Iran Considers Extending Missile Range Beyond 2000 km and Revising Nuclear Doctrine Amid Existential Threat
Nov 1, 2024, 04:46 PM
Iran's Head of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, Kamal Kharrazi, announced in an interview with Al Mayadeen that Iran may increase the range of its ballistic missiles beyond 2000 km if Western concerns are not addressed. Kharrazi also stated that Iran possesses the technical capabilities to produce nuclear weapons and could change its nuclear doctrine in response to an existential threat from Israel. This marks a significant shift in Iran's stance, potentially escalating tensions with Israel and Western countries.
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Full-scale war • 25%
Increased skirmishes • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No escalation occurs • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other regional involvement • 25%
De-escalation and talks • 25%
Continued military skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation and diplomatic talks • 25%
Continued military posturing • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo with no significant change • 25%
Israel strikes Iran • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Limited military engagements • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Mediation by third party • 25%
Resolution through UN intervention • 25%
Iran Victory • 25%
Israel Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
Israel attacks Iran but no retaliation • 25%
No conflict occurs • 25%
Other outcome • 25%