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What will be the outcome of military tensions between Iran and Israel by June 30, 2025?
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Iran•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•Supreme National Security Council•Israel•The New York Times•Iranian•Khamenei
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Reports from major news agencies and official government statements from Iran and Israel
Story
Iran's Supreme Leader Orders Attack Preparations, Including Ballistic Missiles, Against Israel
Oct 31, 2024, 08:05 PM
Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has instructed the Supreme National Security Council to prepare for an attack on Israel. This directive, issued on Monday, comes in response to the scale of Israel's recent attacks and the high number of casualties. The New York Times reports that three Iranian officials confirmed the orders, emphasizing the severity of the situation. Khamenei's decision underscores the heightened tensions between Iran and Israel, with military preparations, including ballistic missiles, now underway.
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No escalation occurs • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Mediation by third party • 25%
Resolution through UN intervention • 25%
Limited skirmish • 25%
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Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No conflict • 25%
Israel conducts airstrikes on Iran • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
Both countries engage in conflict • 25%
No military action occurs • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other regional involvement • 25%
De-escalation and talks • 25%
Continued military skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Increased skirmishes • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran victory • 25%
Israel victory • 25%
Stalemate/ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Decisive victory for Iran • 25%
Ongoing conflict without resolution • 25%
Iran achieves its objectives • 25%
Israel successfully defends • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%