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What will be the next major diplomatic move by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New peace talks • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official announcements from the French, Israeli, or Hamas representatives or credible news agencies
Story
Macron Announces Release of Two French-Israeli Hostages Among 33 on Sunday as Part of Ceasefire Agreement
Jan 17, 2025, 10:42 AM
French President Emmanuel Macron has announced that two French-Israeli hostages, Ofer Kalderon and Ohad Yahalomi, are included in the list of 33 hostages set to be released by Hamas in the first phase of a ceasefire agreement with Israel. The release is scheduled for Sunday, as part of a broader deal that aims to facilitate the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners. The ceasefire is expected to begin on Sunday, marking a significant step towards de-escalation in the region.
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Reimposition of sanctions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Further easing of sanctions • 25%
Restoration of full diplomatic relations • 25%
Summit Meeting • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Military aid to Israel • 25%
Initiate peace talks • 25%
Withdraw troops from Ukraine • 25%
Other action • 25%
Increase military presence in Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Peacekeeping mission • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Climate change accord • 25%
Sanctions on Gaza entities • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
UN Assembly • 25%
EU Conference • 25%
NATO Summit • 25%
Strengthen ties with Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Re-establish ties with Iran • 25%
Strengthen ties with Russia • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful De-escalation • 25%